Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 10.782044 12.023341 13.362581 14.917005 16.674204 18.602065 20.881457
2025-06-15 8.938088 10.663154 12.667817 15.178816 18.252870 21.909991 26.614633
2025-06-22 7.442803 9.379312 11.770457 14.960790 19.136952 24.460091 31.826802
2025-06-29 6.294493 8.301218 10.907771 14.576018 19.660402 26.539514 36.688942
2025-07-06 5.485105 7.521682 10.285118 14.359128 20.297372 28.769344 42.010293
2025-07-13 5.050436 7.176792 10.179941 14.801843 21.862719 32.452576 49.937956
2025-07-20 4.695010 6.888924 10.101597 15.243335 23.444529 36.327369 58.720862
2025-07-27 4.338396 6.550440 9.896400 15.444165 24.647158 39.730835 67.228929
2025-08-03 3.951061 6.118394 9.492344 15.265904 25.187337 42.086057 74.263411
2025-08-10 3.604162 5.711582 9.079807 15.013674 25.549627 44.151003 81.051765
2025-08-17 3.299404 5.341397 8.685685 14.739271 25.822442 46.063995 87.813636
2025-08-24 3.050499 5.039306 8.372896 14.565379 26.241621 48.275648 95.479062
2025-08-31 2.837675 4.785400 8.128479 14.506102 26.903051 51.106943 105.061199
2025-09-07 2.720922 4.688242 8.149733 14.940646 28.572648 56.169342 120.366266
2025-09-14 2.533389 4.447591 7.889322 14.809312 29.100473 58.976814 131.179681
2025-09-21 2.337093 4.173463 7.541095 14.466200 29.146846 60.765077 139.946497
2025-09-28 2.179456 3.957169 7.280788 14.268112 29.467831 63.185502 150.681063
2025-10-05 2.112570 3.906641 7.333184 14.715836 31.244620 69.146443 171.533906
2025-10-12 2.049216 3.856958 7.381515 15.158358 33.065639 75.486343 194.728969
2025-10-19 1.964902 3.758478 7.322155 15.359762 34.355119 80.737479 216.071467
2025-10-26 1.850239 3.589596 7.103411 15.183406 34.723925 83.742041 231.630721
2025-11-02 1.738207 3.417417 6.863201 14.933059 34.880557 86.223857 246.181490
2025-11-09 1.633267 3.252093 6.623970 14.660456 34.947934 88.481520 260.553193